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Table of contents
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- The EIA’s Petroleum Supply Monthly » Peak Oil Barrel
- Survival Theory: A Preparedness Guide
- The Reported Death of Peak Oil Has Been Greatly Exaggerated
Once again, a couple of days ago they released a breakdown of who they had caught crossing so far this year. We have caught 71 nationals from Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone. Now that Nigeria is in epidemic status, you can add whatever number of Nigerians were caught. Now factor this in.
We normally only catch a small percentage of those who try to cross. Granting, that does not hold at this moment for Hispanics, because if they surrender they are getting free entry. But eventually someone with Ebola is going to enter from the south. I will also note, that the epidemic is spreading. And that Guinea is a Muslim country. It takes all day to get the 2 million plus through it.
In there was an outbreak of plague in Leith, the port of Edinburgh. What might Ebola achieve? One of the things I do is evaluate returning travelers and arriving refugees who are ill. Occasionally, this involves specialized testing at CDC. First of all, there are probably only one or two individuals who can do the work.
The EIA’s Petroleum Supply Monthly » Peak Oil Barrel
For at least the last few years, refugees being resettled in the USA are arriving sick in unprecedented numbers. When I started working in , and for many years, strict screening at point of departure was always applied. This no longer appears to be the case. With regard to the Mt. Sinai case — EVERY arrival from West and Central Africa who has a fever now has to be tested — even if you can prove malaria, for example because they could have both.
For that matter, it was also inconceivable that the vaunted CIA and US Military would let a full US Ambassador get killed by terrorists without even trying to mount a rescue op…. The rainy season is beginning in Africa now and malaria will spike, further confusing the issue as the early symptoms are similar. We have grown accustomed to being safe, and complacent in our belief that it will always be so. Across the globe, there are many places with medical systems which would quickly collapse when confronted with a plague this virulent.
The influenza epidemic after WW1 killed many millions. Travel is much easier and faster now, for people and germs. A competent, pro-active response by adults might have saved a lot of lives. Instead we have fools and immature ideologues. Ebola will savage two populations. Those living in dense cities progressives and those who are reliant on the government for sustenance progressives.
People outside of the cities will look after themselves as they always have and will keep strangers away with rifles. The problem will self-correct after a few weeks. The economic costs to shutting down the world air traffic system will kill the just in time economic model for the duration of the shut down. In addition, we are looking at the bankruptcy of every major air line world wide simultaneously.
The US govt shut down air travel to Israel, a tiny country, for 36 hours and it caused tremendous disruption. Imagine the economic ramifications of prolonged international flight bans. OTOH Ebola has some of the characteristics of the flu. We shall see. The person who thinks it could be a good thing for the epidemic to spread among his political opponents in dense cities is a depraved fool. No one is going to shut down international flights. What will happen, at worst, is that flights from Africa are shut down, and that will not impact anyone significantly.
Further to that, travellers may need a medical clearance to fly from other countries.
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Economics and business interests will be the least of our worries. Western populations will handle an alert just fine, except for the previously mentioned welfare slugs who will have to congregate in order to receive food aid. They are no loss. Int J Exp Pathol. Aug ; 76 4 : — Johnson, N. Jaax, J. White, and P. Abstract The potential of aerogenic infection by Ebola virus was established by using a head-only exposure aerosol system. Virus-containing droplets of 0. Inhalation of viral doses as low as plaque-forming units of virus caused a rapidly fatal disease in days.
The illness was clinically identical to that reported for parenteral virus inoculation, except for the occurrence of subcutaneous and venipuncture site bleeding and serosanguineous nasal discharge. Immunocytochemistry revealed cell-associated Ebola virus antigens present in airway epithelium, alveolar pneumocytes, and macrophages in the lung and pulmonary lymph nodes; extracellular antigen was present on mucosal surfaces of the nose, oropharynx and airways.
Aggregates of characteristic filamentous virus were present within type I pneumocytes, macrophages, and air spaces of the lung by electron microscopy. Demonstration of fatal aerosol transmission of this virus in monkeys reinforces the importance of taking appropriate precautions to prevent its potential aerosol transmission to humans. This EBOV viral hemmoragic fever that is spreading out of West Africa, as opposed to Ebola Zaire, has a day infectious period in dried blood and the exposure of 1 mm of eyes, nose or mouth tissue to sneeze droplets is enough to give you a clinical case of EBOV.
Survival Theory: A Preparedness Guide
Her team had to be flown out under military protection in March when the inhabitants tried to kill them. The report is that whole villages are gone, families annihilated — and I was told with some vehemence that the Ebola virus is indeed airborne, via droplets at the least and dust particles at the worst. The virus lives for 23 days on a surface — a plane seat, a door handle, a gas pump, a grocery cart, mail, cash. The notion that it can be contained arises from denial, same as the natives running away into the bush rather than submit to quarantine.
In fact, a big piece of the story is that identified contacts are running away and hiding even as they succumb. Now it is in Saudi Arabia, with the hajj imminent. Countless African students will be winging their way to universities around the world this month. As Mr. Isaacs told the Congressional sub-committee, one millimeter of unprotected skin is all it takes to be infected. Prepare now, while you can, for at least 3 months of sheltering in place — where nothing and no one goes out, and nothing and no one comes in. The reported rate of infection is about 1.
But even at that rate, 4 billion will have been infected by Wake up! EBOV is showing lethal persistence that rivals VX persistant nerve gas three weeks and high self-replicating virulence. In a matter of weeks we will be seeing prostitute vector Ebola showing up with village headmen and African government officials across equitorial Black Africa. In short, we have already lost rural equatorial West Africa and the West African cities are dying.
Once it gets into America anywhere, we will have to shut down interstate travel for at least three months.
One more point, the key public health deception happening right now is that the various government talking heads are all carefully trying to conflate. What I meant by "thriving" was merely that virion would have a longer stability on surfaces in conditions that are more similar to our autumn than Nigerian summer. My personal take on transmission is that the ability of the virus to be transmitted is being vastly underestimated.
While not strictly "airborne", it is clearly very transmissible with very few particles via mucous membranes — recall Ken Isaacs statement about the eye. It appears from the clinical observations in West Africa that the virus is exquisitely capable of being expelled onto fomites, transferring to another person via the hands or garments and then infecting the person through the most minute exposure to a mucous membrane like the eye or the oral mucosa or the respiratory tract.
Remember that only a very few microscopic virion particles could effectively cause an active clinical infection. This spread would then appear to be like airborne transmission while not strictly fitting that definition. Keep an eye on the following oil companies, Shell, ExxonMobil, Chevron, Total, and Eni, to see if they announce employee evacuations and the shutting down of oil operations in Nigeria. Many uncertain probabilities here. If not, why not? We will know soon enough in any case. Infectivity can be preserved by lyophilisation.
Remember that the health care workers were infected by urine directed randomly. It is now time to stay away from hospitals and diagnostic health facilities handling blood tests. Dated: August 5, Burwell, Secretary.
The Reported Death of Peak Oil Has Been Greatly Exaggerated
Good luck on getting those supplies, because we all have very little time before the panic buying hits. The New Republic has the latest word on what to do about Ebola. Does the left have any other solution to problems of civilization? Maybe the worst-case predictions are accurate.